Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–24 on winners spread MAE 9.1 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ Georgia +14.4 156.8 87% 97–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Indiana State -8.1 140.6 20% 89–94 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's -2.2 148.5 44% 64–68 ✗
La Salle @ Richmond +9.8 142.6 82% 53–74 ✓
Davidson @ George Washington +13.2 145.0 86% 84–79 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +18.5 157.2 90% 71–82 ✓
Tulsa @ Charlotte -6.0 151.9 31% 86–74 ✓
Colorado @ Cincinnati +3.5 146.4 66% 68–77 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern +7.1 151.1 75% 86–81 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian -2.0 135.3 40% 70–71 ✗
Radford @ Gardner-Webb -8.6 153.6 18% 89–80 ✓
Iona @ Rider -10.5 137.6 14% 68–72 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -0.6 143.0 43% 89–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +6.9 139.7 75% 74–70 ✗
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland -7.7 146.0 25% 86–80 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Siena +9.2 132.6 80% 86–80 ✗
Niagara @ Canisius +4.3 129.9 65% 59–54 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairfield +6.8 152.3 76% 62–98 ✓
Furman @ Samford -1.7 143.6 41% 77–73 ✓
Southern Miss @ Troy +5.5 150.4 72% 65–91 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +9.5 146.7 80% 85–83 ✗
Auburn @ Missouri -2.0 155.3 41% 74–84 ✗
Kentucky @ LSU +1.8 153.1 62% 75–74 ✗
Florida International @ Kennesaw State +2.2 161.3 62% 86–89 ✓
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State -1.9 145.1 39% 77–62 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +1.5 134.5 54% 69–76 ✓
UAB @ Tulane -0.6 145.5 51% 82–69 ✓
Missouri State @ Western Kentucky +4.3 146.6 69% 72–87 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -7.6 130.8 26% 58–59 ✗
San Diego State @ Wyoming +1.8 151.3 63% 74–57 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois +5.0 144.5 73% 76–73 ✗
Fordham @ Saint Louis +18.3 142.0 90% 56–78 ✓
Rice @ UTSA -4.9 138.9 27% 89–73 ✓
Temple @ Memphis +5.9 141.7 72% 53–55 ✓
UCF @ Kansas State +0.9 161.0 46% 82–73 ✗
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +7.0 151.1 80% 65–76 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +5.7 133.7 64% 54–59 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern -9.1 143.9 19% 79–68 ✓
UCLA @ Penn State -3.4 146.6 37% 71–60 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas -4.8 163.8 27% 64–80 ✗
North Carolina @ Stanford -2.8 141.1 46% 90–95 ✗
Utah @ Texas Tech +16.7 156.5 88% 74–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Arkansas +11.9 156.0 81% 74–108 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine -0.6 140.7 43% 63–67 ✗
Virginia Tech @ SMU +10.1 158.6 78% 76–77 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +5.3 149.0 68% 87–98 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +11.8 148.2 85% 62–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +13.1 146.3 87% 69–85 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Oregon State -0.7 140.3 44% 70–76 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +21.7 160.6 91% 82–89 ✓
Michigan @ Washington -13.0 158.3 16% 82–72 ✓
Duke @ California -9.2 145.3 20% 71–56 ✓
TCU @ BYU +13.5 153.6 86% 70–76 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +7.5 146.5 80% 73–64 ✗
UMBC @ Bryant -2.6 133.6 35% 74–79 ✗
Mercer @ VMI -11.3 151.0 18% 77–67 ✓
New Mexico State @ Liberty +7.3 142.4 75% 71–73 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -4.6 157.1 37% 93–96 ✗
Binghamton @ UAlbany +8.8 138.7 82% 53–69 ✓
James Madison @ App State +2.8 135.5 66% 65–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.