Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +110 UAB -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -3.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -0.6 (-12.4) | 145.5 (+5.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -1.5 (-11.5) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -0.3 (-12.7) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -0.5 (-12.5) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | TULN 55 – 54 UAB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TULN 85 – 68 UAB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UAB 81 – 69 TULN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UAB 78 – 67 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UAB 83 – 69 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-8 | 8-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | 4.8 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#104) | 0.32 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#145) | 0.57 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#102) | 0.496 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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