Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
41–13 on winners spread MAE 7.7 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +6.4 143.5 75% 73–77 ✓
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -4.4 161.0 36% 84–86 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +4.6 154.4 68% 59–71 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb -11.8 136.7 17% 77–71 ✓
High Point @ Presbyterian -12.5 143.9 14% 79–73 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut +1.2 137.3 61% 78–80 ✓
New Haven @ Wagner +3.1 132.7 56% 62–65 ✓
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +3.4 135.2 62% 77–103 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +10.1 141.3 85% 56–73 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Le Moyne +4.5 138.3 65% 59–76 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +9.9 146.8 83% 64–66 ✓
Campbell @ Drexel +0.8 142.0 56% 60–65 ✓
Elon @ Towson +5.1 139.6 76% 56–58 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington +12.9 141.2 87% 65–88 ✓
Stony Brook @ Monmouth +2.5 141.2 63% 69–82 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary +12.3 157.5 87% 77–84 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +4.3 151.7 67% 85–80 ✗
Stetson @ Jacksonville +3.8 139.2 66% 85–89 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida -4.8 155.7 32% 70–76 ✗
Delaware @ Jacksonville State +4.6 135.9 69% 70–80 ✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -0.6 155.2 47% 65–74 ✗
Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech +0.7 136.1 52% 70–72 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +7.2 138.0 77% 67–77 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +3.4 148.6 69% 70–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +6.4 143.3 72% 76–74 ✗
Denver @ Oral Roberts -5.6 150.9 33% 80–102 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -10.5 146.9 16% 73–59 ✓
VMI @ Samford +15.6 150.4 88% 61–80 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +12.1 140.0 87% 72–79 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +4.7 147.8 74% 87–92 ✓
Florida A&M @ Southern +6.5 147.3 77% 82–71 ✗
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +12.7 134.9 86% 47–67 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +2.4 148.8 62% 79–71 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +5.7 142.0 73% 71–67 ✗
Morehead State @ Little Rock -0.3 141.1 47% 76–70 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +8.9 131.7 81% 49–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +0.4 144.7 50% 88–82 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +11.6 146.5 85% 59–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas +3.1 154.6 62% 62–84 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -0.7 146.6 50% 77–73 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +2.2 139.8 60% 69–84 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +6.7 155.3 76% 73–81 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +9.9 144.1 83% 58–78 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington +0.8 156.2 53% 72–82 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech +5.2 136.2 67% 81–85 ✓
Florida International @ Sam Houston +8.7 157.4 80% 67–100 ✓
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +4.3 156.2 72% 76–85 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly +4.5 156.0 68% 92–102 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge +0.5 151.8 54% 68–67 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego +15.6 144.3 89% 72–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +5.1 129.0 68% 56–68 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -12.1 158.6 17% 69–67 ✓
Yale @ Cornell -5.0 161.8 31% 69–72 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Niagara -6.8 132.6 23% 76–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.