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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–19 on winners spread MAE 9.2 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. John's @ UConn +5.3 147.5 73% 40–72 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska +17.0 139.4 90% 61–74 ✓
Florida @ Texas -4.2 153.6 30% 84–71 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt +7.0 165.5 75% 80–88 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +4.5 134.9 69% 71–69 ✗
Lafayette @ Colgate +9.7 145.7 84% 70–69 ✗
Lehigh @ American University +6.2 144.5 74% 78–73 ✗
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's -0.5 133.8 45% 63–81 ✗
Davidson @ Duquesne +2.5 141.0 64% 67–56 ✗
North Texas @ Charlotte -0.0 136.6 44% 79–80 ✗
Holy Cross @ Boston University +6.9 144.1 75% 63–78 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +10.3 151.1 81% 73–82 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -7.9 143.9 22% 78–51 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -0.3 153.5 48% 72–89 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris +7.5 149.7 79% 62–73 ✓
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -2.0 148.3 40% 74–70 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State -5.7 159.0 34% 81–70 ✓
Mercer @ Western Carolina -1.0 155.6 49% 74–78 ✗
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +11.3 149.5 84% 72–69 ✗
Lipscomb @ West Georgia -4.8 153.4 37% 78–84 ✗
Queens University @ Eastern Kentucky -0.5 163.2 48% 96–79 ✓
Xavier @ Providence +6.0 167.7 75% 84–94 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +18.8 148.7 91% 64–98 ✓
Tulsa @ Tulane -7.0 150.0 32% 90–56 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso +5.7 144.8 77% 71–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +10.2 143.3 85% 55–66 ✓
South Florida @ Rice -11.2 159.1 16% 75–56 ✓
East Carolina @ UTSA -3.6 147.1 35% 82–81 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Stanford +6.8 136.9 77% 67–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee -0.1 146.1 54% 65–78 ✗
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +7.1 152.2 75% 66–82 ✓
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +13.0 153.6 87% 54–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +4.9 149.0 70% 93–88 ✗
Portland @ Gonzaga +27.1 150.1 91% 48–89 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +14.8 169.4 88% 75–100 ✓
Seattle U @ Pepperdine -6.6 139.3 24% 87–80 ✓
Kansas State @ Colorado +6.5 161.2 76% 70–79 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +4.8 142.0 75% 57–74 ✓
UNLV @ Grand Canyon +8.7 151.0 80% 67–80 ✓
DePaul @ Creighton +5.1 141.2 71% 72–71 ✗
LSU @ Ole Miss -0.2 151.6 52% 106–99 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +6.7 171.7 75% 84–99 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -2.0 148.1 49% 68–73 ✗
San Diego @ Oregon State +6.2 146.0 75% 82–92 ✓
SMU @ California -1.2 160.5 44% 69–73 ✗
Wisconsin @ Oregon -6.0 150.0 26% 71–85 ✗
Washington State @ Loyola Marymount +2.1 147.5 62% 66–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +4.4 148.1 70% 67–86 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +1.2 146.2 55% 72–89 ✓
Charleston @ Hampton -3.6 140.0 32% 85–71 ✓
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +1.1 141.3 55% 76–94 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -1.1 138.9 41% 63–65 ✗
Bryant @ UMBC +13.0 135.6 88% 58–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +0.2 144.6 50% 76–71 ✗
Maine @ UAlbany +4.7 131.2 60% 70–59 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.