You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
27–1 on winners spread MAE 7.3 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
McNeese @ Alabama +28.7 151.1 90% 64–72 ✓
Grambling @ Florida +15.2 141.2 81% 62–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rutgers +15.2 133.5 83% 65–75 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Marshall +2.0 146.1 65% 63–77 ✓
Stony Brook @ George Mason +10.0 142.0 83% 56–94 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Pittsburgh +14.0 150.2 84% 64–83 ✓
Buffalo @ Notre Dame +16.1 148.9 84% 77–86 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Missouri +13.8 149.7 86% 77–84 ✓
Western Michigan @ Butler +5.0 132.5 70% 65–85 ✓
UT Martin @ North Alabama +13.9 134.3 79% 69–87 ✓
Jacksonville @ Furman +12.3 141.3 85% 69–78 ✓
Florida A&M @ Maryland +33.0 146.0 91% 53–84 ✓
Winthrop @ Virginia Tech +12.4 148.8 81% 52–58 ✓
Coppin State @ Virginia +15.3 127.2 85% 45–62 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulane +24.5 143.2 91% 51–84 ✓
Kansas City @ Iowa State — — — 56–82 —
Yale @ Purdue +9.3 145.5 81% 84–92 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M — — — 71–97 —
Northwestern State @ Oklahoma +21.5 145.0 89% 57–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ Austin Peay +11.6 139.0 87% 61–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ SMU +13.2 150.4 81% 68–81 ✓
Central Michigan @ Marquette +20.6 149.0 87% 62–70 ✓
Mercer @ DePaul — — — 64–95 —
North Dakota State @ Cal State Bakersfield +10.7 145.5 73% 81–86 ✓
Idaho @ Washington State +18.9 153.7 84% 67–90 ✓
Boston University @ UCLA +24.9 133.2 90% 40–71 ✓
Pacific @ Hawai'i +6.8 146.3 65% 66–76 ✓
Villanova @ Saint Joseph's +2.5 142.6 55% 76–83 ✓
Michigan State @ Kansas -1.3 147.3 44% 69–77 ✗
Hampton @ Providence +20.9 131.3 88% 51–60 ✓
Cornell @ La Salle +16.8 143.3 87% 77–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.