Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–7 on winners spread MAE 8.6 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Buffalo @ Georgia +24.3 143.7 91% 49–100 ✓
Oakland @ Cleveland State +0.7 127.1 49% 75–92 ✓
Charleston Southern @ North Alabama +12.5 144.2 86% 69–86 ✓
Grambling @ Delaware State -0.6 141.2 46% 60–73 ✗
UC Irvine @ Belmont -2.5 147.6 39% 92–84 ✓
Lipscomb @ Middle Tennessee +1.7 142.4 54% 65–67 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State +1.6 143.6 57% 69–70 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas +28.6 149.8 91% 62–98 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock +1.9 133.2 59% 56–60 ✓
Bellarmine @ Wyoming +11.9 142.5 84% 55–92 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana +9.1 152.9 82% 75–77 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood +1.6 142.8 55% 79–73 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +4.8 137.6 69% 72–79 ✓
South Dakota @ Utah Tech -0.9 155.6 46% 87–92 ✗
Chicago State @ Grand Canyon +20.9 147.2 91% 51–74 ✓
Long Beach State @ Pepperdine +8.0 137.9 75% 79–76 ✗
Merrimack @ Saint Mary's +14.9 131.0 87% 68–73 ✓
Valparaiso @ Western Michigan +2.4 149.5 64% 76–73 ✗
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M +24.3 138.7 90% 45–77 ✓
Norfolk State @ Grambling -6.3 136.0 30% 76–70 ✓
UIC @ Seattle U +7.5 148.0 77% 79–68 ✗
Rider @ Pennsylvania +1.0 130.2 56% 66–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Alabama State +2.5 148.5 60% 83–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.