What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–8 on winners spread MAE 7.9 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +20.0 144.7 91% 60–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +11.9 148.9 88% 64–90 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.9 148.5 73% 71–65 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +2.3 144.7 62% 67–78 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -2.6 139.7 37% 73–70 ✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman +5.4 134.3 70% 71–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +0.7 133.5 38% 75–59 ✗
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -10.6 138.0 16% 95–64 ✓
Howard @ South Carolina State +9.9 154.2 83% 69–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central -5.1 148.6 30% 87–91 ✗
Delaware State @ Morgan State -0.2 158.4 52% 81–87 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +2.2 132.2 62% 57–73 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.2 149.5 52% 76–77 ✓
Houston Christian @ East Texas A&M -1.3 131.9 46% 59–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +19.3 144.6 91% 66–84 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coppin State +2.2 134.4 63% 72–59 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +12.8 145.8 88% 62–95 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar +1.5 142.2 59% 53–65 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +10.5 132.7 83% 59–65 ✓
Wichita State @ North Texas +9.3 130.5 78% 66–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +11.7 145.7 89% 74–88 ✓
UCLA @ Northwestern +0.7 134.2 56% 73–69 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +5.0 141.3 73% 82–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana State +5.6 146.9 77% 60–75 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State -6.1 149.4 27% 68–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State +10.6 135.3 87% 56–59 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +8.9 147.5 85% 72–83 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +1.8 137.7 60% 63–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine +3.7 147.7 71% 70–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +15.4 147.9 90% 56–90 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina -1.8 139.4 39% 73–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.