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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–8 on winners
spread MAE 10.2
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth
@
Charleston
|
+6.6 | 144.1 | 72% | 78–79 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
SE Louisiana
|
+2.0 | 137.3 | 57% | 71–67 | ✗ |
Pepperdine
@
Santa Clara
|
+15.3 | 155.2 | 86% | 78–76 | ✗ |
Troy
@
James Madison
|
-2.8 | 138.9 | 37% | 79–60 | ✓ |
St. Thomas
@
Omaha
|
-2.7 | 151.6 | 42% | 75–85 | ✗ |
Northern Arizona
@
Montana
|
+3.4 | 144.0 | 68% | 65–74 | ✓ |
Washington State
@
San Francisco
|
+5.6 | 151.0 | 73% | 75–86 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Towson
|
+4.9 | 147.5 | 73% | 82–72 | ✗ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Northwestern State
|
-2.4 | 131.7 | 38% | 63–66 | ✗ |
Arkansas State
@
Troy
|
-2.1 | 139.8 | 40% | 81–94 | ✗ |
Wofford
@
Furman
|
+0.3 | 143.0 | 56% | 92–85 | ✗ |
Oakland
@
Robert Morris
|
+2.5 | 141.8 | 63% | 76–79 | ✓ |
Montana State
@
Idaho State
|
+0.2 | 140.9 | 52% | 80–60 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.