I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–9 on winners spread MAE 6.9 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Nicholls +3.6 139.5 67% 70–74 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +15.8 133.9 89% 59–74 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +2.4 147.8 61% 67–68 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +3.0 140.7 62% 80–70 ✗
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +1.6 138.8 58% 56–54 ✗
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +8.2 152.2 82% 76–85 ✓
Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State -5.4 136.2 33% 87–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +4.9 129.6 74% 56–73 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -4.8 145.1 33% 54–55 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +1.6 133.0 54% 69–67 ✗
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +0.1 138.8 49% 72–65 ✗
California @ Virginia Tech -1.5 146.1 42% 82–73 ✓
Siena @ Rider -2.6 141.6 40% 76–78 ✗
Sam Houston @ UTEP +1.0 146.5 58% 65–79 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +7.0 152.4 79% 72–76 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +1.9 127.6 58% 57–42 ✗
Northwestern State @ McNeese +14.4 136.2 88% 64–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +10.8 136.7 84% 46–43 ✗
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +3.0 143.3 66% 78–89 ✓
Arizona State @ Kansas State +0.7 141.9 55% 66–71 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +2.0 150.8 60% 66–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.