They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 9.9 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.4 142.7 74% 66–69 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State -3.2 155.2 32% 83–69 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -4.3 141.4 32% 74–83 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +3.8 129.3 69% 70–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -6.6 151.4 29% 85–57 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +3.3 162.7 64% 75–100 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +0.7 139.5 50% 70–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +5.8 139.2 75% 88–90 ✓
USC @ UCLA +9.2 140.7 81% 63–90 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +9.7 147.5 86% 73–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +3.9 155.6 69% 76–72 ✗
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -9.0 130.9 18% 71–66 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +5.7 143.3 74% 68–70 ✓
Furman @ Samford +1.0 151.1 56% 95–78 ✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth -3.0 129.8 37% 60–65 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +10.1 148.2 82% 77–73 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +9.2 130.3 80% 59–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +2.9 140.2 64% 69–48 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton -12.1 147.9 14% 64–59 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.5 138.6 27% 70–65 ✓
Houston @ Baylor -2.8 131.9 31% 65–61 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona +2.9 143.6 65% 53–66 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -3.8 140.6 33% 97–88 ✓
Utah @ BYU +10.6 154.7 86% 74–85 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.4 135.2 78% 61–80 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +7.9 154.7 79% 69–85 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -15.5 136.7 12% 68–57 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +1.9 149.8 60% 77–94 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +6.9 141.4 73% 62–79 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +2.5 131.3 63% 76–82 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +5.9 145.2 74% 83–77 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +5.0 157.2 71% 69–81 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +5.8 155.3 73% 83–68 ✗
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +5.0 153.5 71% 53–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +5.3 143.2 68% 67–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +2.2 136.3 66% 62–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +5.7 148.4 74% 65–76 ✓
North Texas @ Temple -4.5 137.0 23% 61–66 ✗
UAB @ Tulane +0.1 156.4 48% 68–85 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +10.4 140.1 87% 73–63 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +2.4 125.5 61% 48–63 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary +2.5 154.2 61% 100–78 ✗
Oregon @ Washington -6.9 149.3 25% 80–73 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +1.9 147.7 59% 80–77 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +0.1 149.2 51% 83–80 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +5.1 139.1 70% 65–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.7 132.5 75% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -2.2 141.9 33% 74–71 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +9.4 141.7 81% 65–85 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +8.7 145.4 80% 52–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.