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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–4 on winners spread MAE 10.6 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota State @ UTEP -2.9 135.3 37% 66–76 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ LSU +26.2 153.5 91% 90–104 ✓
Princeton @ Temple +10.4 138.9 71% 61–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Wright State +7.8 137.2 77% 64–70 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida State +16.0 149.5 87% 63–87 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Saint Joseph's +3.5 136.9 69% 68–62 ✗
Bryant @ High Point +14.5 146.0 86% 47–93 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ West Virginia +36.0 138.8 91% 51–86 ✓
Stonehill @ Syracuse +19.1 136.1 89% 48–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Rhode Island +11.8 139.5 83% 77–85 ✓
Canisius @ Duquesne +12.0 136.7 84% 59–103 ✓
Rider @ VCU +33.8 133.6 91% 79–100 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Boston College +17.0 141.7 90% 61–72 ✓
East Carolina @ North Carolina +24.2 137.6 91% 51–99 ✓
Davidson @ Kansas +16.2 135.4 87% 61–90 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +6.8 150.4 72% 48–91 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +13.8 147.7 87% 67–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts -1.3 133.0 47% 69–57 ✓
Central Michigan @ Wisconsin +22.9 149.6 91% 61–88 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Grand Canyon +22.4 152.7 91% 78–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Texas +25.4 139.0 90% 71–94 ✓
Utah Tech @ Creighton +17.8 143.8 87% 69–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arizona +35.4 148.5 91% 71–107 ✓
Eastern Washington @ BYU +28.3 158.2 91% 81–109 ✓
UC Irvine @ Norfolk State -4.2 131.9 34% 89–70 ✓
Stetson @ Oklahoma +24.0 145.1 91% 54–107 ✓
San Diego @ Washington +18.1 149.2 89% 56–86 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Northridge +4.7 151.5 74% 88–100 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Saint Mary's +10.1 130.4 79% 58–63 ✓
Green Bay @ Campbell +0.9 144.9 50% 79–102 ✓
Binghamton @ Army +10.0 143.9 85% 85–95 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kentucky +25.3 146.4 90% 85–99 ✓
Grambling @ Ohio State +16.0 149.4 88% 63–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UCF +11.4 157.6 85% 80–85 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri State -0.8 144.3 47% 65–70 ✗
UC Riverside @ UCLA +19.6 148.6 90% 65–97 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.4 147.9 27% 63–64 ✗
Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount +22.6 140.1 91% 56–83 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +21.7 140.5 90% 59–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.