Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–3 on winners spread MAE 7.2 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC Irvine @ North Dakota State +1.4 135.3 54% 74–73 ✗
Nicholls @ Pacific +11.5 136.3 82% 82–95 ✓
Idaho @ Cal Poly +0.1 153.6 58% 83–80 ✗
North Dakota @ Nebraska +28.3 144.7 91% 55–78 ✓
Norfolk State @ UTEP +3.2 129.4 58% 72–71 ✗
New Haven @ Fordham +11.2 126.8 81% 47–65 ✓
West Georgia @ Georgia +31.9 162.7 91% 74–103 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Towson +10.2 141.2 80% 47–72 ✓
NJIT @ Butler +27.6 146.3 91% 52–101 ✓
Denver @ Tulsa +20.8 162.8 90% 85–90 ✓
Seattle U @ UTSA -9.3 135.9 16% 71–68 ✓
South Carolina State @ South Carolina +29.9 142.5 91% 70–95 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Western Illinois -5.2 136.6 27% 66–61 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Texas Southern -6.4 143.6 27% 75–68 ✓
Portland @ UC Santa Barbara +6.7 149.9 77% 61–79 ✓
American University @ Virginia +20.7 153.4 90% 51–95 ✓
Siena @ Indiana +18.6 136.1 88% 60–81 ✓
Coppin State @ Georgetown +28.4 148.9 91% 67–97 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.