They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–5 on winners spread MAE 13.5 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cal State Northridge @ Stanford +13.9 157.7 87% 80–88 ✓
Winthrop @ Texas Tech +16.0 161.9 88% 57–87 ✓
UL Monroe @ Kansas State +30.5 159.2 91% 85–94 ✓
Columbia @ North Florida -12.7 153.4 17% 90–82 ✓
Le Moyne @ Boston College +10.2 142.5 81% 64–72 ✓
Harvard @ Colgate +6.3 139.8 71% 78–69 ✗
Liberty @ Florida International -0.2 143.8 53% 97–94 ✓
Florida A&M @ Georgia Tech +13.7 142.5 88% 65–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Louisiana -2.0 127.9 43% 54–63 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +10.4 159.0 82% 86–81 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ SMU +17.0 164.5 89% 63–110 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Richmond +13.3 151.0 86% 77–72 ✗
Washington State @ Portland -0.6 145.3 50% 67–62 ✓
Pennsylvania @ George Mason +16.7 143.6 88% 79–83 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon State -1.8 145.6 43% 102–64 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego -5.4 142.5 33% 54–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Maryland +7.6 149.0 77% 58–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.