Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–21 on winners spread MAE 9.3 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulsa @ Wichita State +1.1 147.8 56% 77–81 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -2.5 155.9 38% 79–89 ✗
Georgetown @ UConn +17.9 144.8 89% 75–79 ✓
Virginia @ Ohio State -4.6 145.4 33% 70–66 ✓
Memphis @ Utah State +12.9 149.1 87% 75–99 ✓
St. Thomas @ Kansas City -14.8 149.0 13% 104–64 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -5.2 144.7 31% 87–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -3.2 152.8 34% 60–84 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona -0.3 150.6 49% 74–79 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +2.6 141.7 60% 80–82 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -3.7 153.7 39% 87–101 ✗
South Carolina @ Alabama +18.1 165.6 89% 75–89 ✓
Auburn @ Arkansas +7.3 162.7 77% 75–88 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss -2.0 143.4 43% 65–69 ✗
Texas @ Missouri +1.0 152.7 58% 85–68 ✗
Minnesota @ Washington +6.4 135.0 72% 57–69 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +0.7 141.8 58% 82–71 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -0.2 141.5 51% 65–70 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.5 143.4 78% 57–71 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +5.8 150.2 76% 65–86 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego +11.3 140.5 86% 66–72 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pacific -4.9 135.8 33% 72–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -2.5 154.8 36% 94–86 ✓
UTSA @ Charlotte +14.7 145.5 89% 88–79 ✗
Utah @ Cincinnati +10.8 136.8 81% 65–69 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +1.0 144.8 57% 57–68 ✓
Indiana @ Illinois +11.8 154.1 85% 51–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +2.1 141.9 61% 73–83 ✓
Denver @ Omaha +0.4 159.0 59% 76–83 ✓
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -0.1 148.9 54% 70–76 ✗
Manhattan @ Canisius -0.2 141.9 42% 69–65 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +4.5 142.6 69% 75–76 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois +3.2 145.2 66% 70–60 ✗
North Texas @ Temple +1.8 136.5 62% 65–62 ✗
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic -1.9 162.1 44% 83–81 ✓
Tulane @ UAB +7.3 146.8 81% 55–54 ✗
Rider @ Sacred Heart +9.2 146.6 83% 75–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +2.6 139.8 68% 74–83 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +2.2 137.6 54% 56–49 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris +0.9 154.0 56% 69–93 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State -6.4 153.3 24% 102–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +6.7 155.6 78% 78–83 ✓
Iona @ Niagara -4.9 131.4 29% 68–70 ✗
Siena @ Marist +3.4 132.1 60% 67–63 ✗
Drake @ Northern Iowa +11.2 131.9 80% 62–86 ✓
Illinois State @ UIC -1.9 136.8 45% 56–83 ✗
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +0.2 144.8 54% 72–75 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +2.4 141.5 65% 59–70 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama -3.0 146.0 37% 78–84 ✗
Charleston @ Campbell +0.4 154.0 49% 62–57 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State +0.5 162.7 53% 87–70 ✗
San Francisco @ San Diego -1.8 148.5 48% 92–79 ✓
Seton Hall @ Butler +0.2 140.6 49% 63–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.