I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Coastal Athletic Association · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · February 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -3.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Money CAM -155 / COFC +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual COFC +5 119 Lost
Massey CAM -1.1 (-6.1) — —
Massey Totals — 159.5 (-40.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CAM -0.5 (-5.5) 153.4 (-34.4) 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -0.6 (-5.6) 152.0 (-33.0) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -0.9 (-5.9) 150.9 (-31.9) 53% ✗
Baseline ML CAM -0.4 (-5.4) 154.0 (-35.0) 49% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 COFC 87 – 83 CAM
Mar 1, 2025 COFC 87 – 65 CAM
Jan 17, 2025 COFC 67 – 61 CAM
Mar 1, 2024 COFC 96 – 73 CAM
Jan 27, 2024 COFC 90 – 67 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM COFC
Overall 16-18 21-11
Conference 8-10 14-4
Home 10-4 11-4
Away 3-13 8-4
Neutral 3-1 2-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.1 75.3
Avg Pts Against 78.8 73.9
Massey -2.4 (#207) -0.6 (#176)
Bradley-Terry -0.10 (#177) 0.36 (#134)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#183) 0.20 (#151)
RPI 0.506 (#167) 0.526 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM COFC
FG% 44.3% 44.6%
3PT% 32.3% 30.1%
REB / G 33.3 37.5
OREB / G 11.6 10.3
AST / TO 0.87 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 50.5%
TOV% 18.1% 16.2%
ORB% 32.6% 29.8%
FT Rate 32.3% 31.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 14.2%
DRB% 68.8% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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