Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -285 TULN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +1 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -8.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-43.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -7.5 (-8.5) | 150.4 (-41.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -7.4 (-8.4) | 151.4 (-42.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -7.6 (-8.6) | 146.3 (-37.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -7.3 (-8.3) | 146.8 (-37.8) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | UAB 82 – 69 TULN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TULN 85 – 68 UAB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UAB 81 – 69 TULN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UAB 78 – 67 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UAB 83 – 69 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-8 |
| Away | 10-2 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | -2.2 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#112) | 0.11 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#118) | -0.21 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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