I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–5 on winners spread MAE 7.7 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ UConn +10.8 136.1 84% 51–67 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -1.2 141.3 44% 73–70 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +4.8 139.1 63% 88–84 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +5.8 129.8 75% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +4.9 147.6 72% 78–93 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +2.0 130.6 64% 53–59 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +3.9 147.7 66% 66–79 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +14.3 133.9 85% 61–73 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +3.5 134.7 63% 47–69 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +5.3 160.7 67% 79–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +4.9 138.9 71% 72–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +3.6 150.1 64% 63–78 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +0.1 150.0 48% 62–64 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +7.1 156.5 77% 76–88 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +4.9 138.5 66% 59–74 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +10.6 157.0 84% 65–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +5.2 159.7 68% 91–74 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +5.7 140.8 69% 70–69 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +11.1 141.1 86% 63–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard -0.3 132.4 46% 62–60 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +10.2 150.7 85% 64–86 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +9.0 153.8 78% 90–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -4.8 144.5 35% 73–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +6.5 140.3 74% 64–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State -2.0 149.6 39% 68–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.2 146.6 59% 62–73 ✓
Houston @ Arizona +3.5 137.8 62% 74–79 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +2.8 136.6 61% 52–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +1.4 146.4 49% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.