I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
23–13 on winners spread MAE 7.0 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +2.7 151.5 63% 81–84 ✓
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +6.2 134.9 71% 63–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +2.5 151.6 57% 96–87 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +3.0 142.5 61% 62–71 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.8 146.4 32% 70–80 ✗
Rutgers @ UCLA +9.9 142.5 82% 59–72 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central -1.9 131.2 39% 76–83 ✗
Clemson @ North Carolina +2.7 135.3 64% 80–79 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +6.8 141.3 76% 78–64 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas -1.5 133.9 42% 70–74 ✗
TCU @ Kansas +3.4 140.1 67% 73–78 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +1.3 158.2 58% 83–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech +2.9 142.0 64% 74–80 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -0.0 151.6 46% 70–82 ✗
San José State @ New Mexico +12.6 148.4 86% 77–93 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Louis +6.8 154.3 75% 81–88 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +11.0 153.7 85% 67–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech +1.1 135.1 56% 66–69 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida +9.0 155.7 78% 63–71 ✓
Charlotte @ UAB +3.7 143.5 68% 83–78 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -0.3 140.4 42% 74–55 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +5.7 140.2 72% 63–68 ✓
Wisconsin @ Illinois +5.9 156.8 70% 91–88 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston +3.8 156.7 66% 79–73 ✗
North Texas @ Tulsa +8.5 138.1 80% 84–90 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt +0.1 147.5 48% 68–75 ✓
Massachusetts @ Toledo +3.0 155.2 65% 67–77 ✓
Duquesne @ VCU +8.0 147.7 81% 66–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +9.9 131.9 84% 68–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +14.6 142.5 88% 61–78 ✓
Purdue @ Nebraska -0.5 142.0 49% 74–58 ✓
Iowa State @ Arizona +2.6 141.9 60% 80–82 ✓
Miami @ Virginia +2.1 144.4 55% 62–84 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +9.6 158.7 82% 80–79 ✗
Kent State @ Akron +6.7 160.4 78% 68–75 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -1.0 130.0 51% 58–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.