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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.8
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Davidson
@
Oklahoma State
|
+9.0 | 149.0 | 76% | 80–84 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Tulsa
|
+8.3 | 148.1 | 79% | 84–89 | ✓ |
Texas
@
NC State
|
+1.4 | 159.7 | 59% | 68–66 | ✗ |
St. Thomas
@
Seattle U
|
+1.9 | 135.7 | 58% | 52–67 | ✓ |
South Alabama
@
Auburn
|
+17.2 | 151.3 | 89% | 67–78 | ✓ |
UNLV
@
UC Irvine
|
+4.4 | 151.7 | 72% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Lehigh
|
+1.7 | 138.5 | 54% | 67–55 | ✗ |
Navy
@
Wake Forest
|
+11.9 | 143.9 | 85% | 72–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.