The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–9 on winners spread MAE 9.4 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kent State @ Illinois State +7.2 150.3 71% 58–79 ✓
George Washington @ Utah Valley +2.8 153.3 63% 79–78 ✗
Dayton @ Bradley +0.2 143.5 33% 80–66 ✗
Sam Houston @ New Mexico +11.2 154.0 81% 83–107 ✓
Miami (OH) @ SMU +4.3 156.7 69% 89–79 ✗
Murray State @ Nevada +9.2 141.7 78% 75–89 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Colorado State +6.8 138.1 69% 69–64 ✗
UIC @ California +7.8 145.2 79% 73–91 ✓
TCU @ Ohio State +2.4 144.9 60% 66–64 ✗
Troy @ Nebraska +13.7 136.8 86% 47–76 ✓
South Florida @ Louisville +6.1 154.3 71% 79–83 ✓
High Point @ Wisconsin +6.9 158.6 80% 83–82 ✗
Siena @ Duke +21.7 133.8 88% 65–71 ✓
McNeese @ Vanderbilt +7.9 148.8 78% 68–78 ✓
North Dakota State @ Michigan State +11.8 143.6 85% 67–92 ✓
Hawai'i @ Arkansas +12.1 156.7 86% 78–97 ✓
VCU @ North Carolina +2.4 143.3 55% 82–78 ✗
Howard @ Michigan +21.1 146.1 89% 80–101 ✓
Texas A&M @ Saint Mary's +3.4 150.1 64% 63–50 ✗
Texas @ BYU +4.2 156.4 68% 79–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.