← All models
Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 14.6
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prairie View A&M
@
Florida
|
+21.6 | 149.3 | 89% | 55–114 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Kansas
|
+10.7 | 135.2 | 83% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Miami
|
+3.6 | 147.8 | 65% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Furman
@
UConn
|
+17.3 | 134.7 | 89% | 71–82 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Michigan
|
+9.7 | 159.7 | 85% | 72–95 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Michigan State
|
-0.1 | 149.8 | 41% | 69–77 | ✗ |
TCU
@
Duke
|
+12.1 | 137.7 | 85% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+8.2 | 141.5 | 80% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+0.9 | 135.0 | 37% | 80–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Gonzaga
|
+8.6 | 144.5 | 79% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.