I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–3 on winners spread MAE 5.9 12 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Illinois +7.2 151.6 70% 55–76 ✓
Liberty @ Nevada +9.3 146.5 77% 63–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Nebraska -2.0 143.9 38% 72–74 ✗
High Point @ Arkansas +8.2 163.9 83% 88–94 ✓
Miami @ Purdue +6.2 147.4 69% 69–79 ✓
Kentucky @ Iowa State +7.4 146.6 71% 63–82 ✓
Illinois State @ Wake Forest +7.1 142.0 71% 78–75 ✗
St. John's @ Kansas -2.6 137.2 33% 67–65 ✓
Tennessee @ Virginia -0.1 140.5 46% 79–72 ✓
Seattle U @ Auburn +11.8 139.4 84% 85–91 ✓
UNLV @ Tulsa +9.4 162.4 79% 66–77 ✓
Iowa @ Florida +8.3 141.7 77% 73–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.