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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–16 on winners spread MAE 7.9 57 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Temple -6.2 153.0 26% 81–88 ✗
Michigan @ Minnesota -13.7 144.5 15% 81–84 ✗
High Point @ Longwood -2.6 149.7 41% 80–82 ✗
Binghamton @ Vermont +3.9 130.5 66% 64–72 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +4.6 142.9 70% 64–67 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +2.8 140.0 65% 88–87 ✗
App State @ Old Dominion -5.3 132.1 29% 62–43 ✓
Charleston @ Campbell -4.2 146.4 31% 67–61 ✓
Elon @ Drexel -0.6 132.1 47% 65–54 ✓
William & Mary @ Hampton -0.5 147.2 47% 67–64 ✓
Monmouth @ North Carolina A&T -0.3 146.6 48% 72–63 ✓
Hofstra @ Towson +2.0 126.8 61% 60–65 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +4.7 136.2 72% 72–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +9.0 158.6 82% 80–92 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -6.7 148.6 24% 95–60 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville +1.5 143.1 58% 60–64 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +2.1 130.4 60% 76–81 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's -0.4 122.2 45% 56–51 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +0.6 135.7 54% 66–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider -4.6 136.2 29% 60–66 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Siena +2.5 146.1 64% 75–93 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +8.7 139.3 82% 61–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State +2.6 159.5 67% 69–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +1.7 140.6 60% 61–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Florida International -3.6 140.7 36% 59–52 ✓
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +5.2 134.1 72% 47–51 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona +8.7 132.7 81% 53–77 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +8.8 150.6 83% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +15.3 146.4 90% 63–83 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay -2.1 140.2 44% 90–97 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -2.1 140.5 40% 85–83 ✓
California Baptist @ Tarleton State -4.8 131.5 32% 57–67 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +11.0 157.4 86% 73–109 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +8.8 164.8 83% 82–92 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +11.7 141.6 87% 64–71 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State -0.3 136.0 47% 87–80 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech +2.3 136.4 62% 77–70 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana +1.0 136.0 53% 73–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +8.1 137.6 79% 63–68 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern -2.6 142.5 40% 74–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska +8.7 146.7 80% 85–82 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho State +1.9 136.3 61% 67–70 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +1.1 145.2 57% 63–59 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Grand Canyon +12.5 140.6 87% 58–88 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +9.3 135.3 81% 72–70 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal Poly +3.5 149.6 66% 65–54 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +20.5 137.3 91% 62–82 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +4.2 136.6 69% 63–66 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State -14.4 138.1 13% 80–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -3.8 146.2 36% 54–57 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +1.8 147.3 57% 81–84 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -4.5 145.7 30% 80–63 ✓
Washington State @ San Diego -12.4 150.5 14% 65–61 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +8.2 138.1 80% 62–82 ✓
Gonzaga @ Oregon State -3.8 149.9 36% 89–97 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +1.3 147.3 57% 83–60 ✗
Ohio @ Akron +3.3 157.8 68% 80–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.