This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Coastal Athletic Association · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -4.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money CAM +170 / COFC -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual COFC +6 128 Lost
Massey COFC -3.3 (-2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (-22.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COFC -3.9 (-2.1) 149.7 (-21.7) 34% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COFC -3.8 (-2.2) 146.4 (-18.4) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -4.2 (-1.8) 146.4 (-18.4) 31% ✓
Baseline ML COFC -3.9 (-2.1) 148.0 (-20.0) 32% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 COFC 62 – 57 CAM
Jan 23, 2026 COFC 87 – 83 CAM
Mar 1, 2025 COFC 87 – 65 CAM
Mar 1, 2024 COFC 96 – 73 CAM
Jan 27, 2024 COFC 90 – 67 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM COFC
Overall 15-17 24-9
Conference 10-8 13-5
Home 8-6 13-2
Away 7-10 7-5
Neutral 0-1 4-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 68.9 76.7
Avg Pts Against 69.3 73.9
Massey -5.6 (#260) 1.4 (#138)
Bradley-Terry -1.49 (#305) 1.07 (#85)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.43 (#274) 0.94 (#104)
RPI 0.428 (#296) 0.565 (#63)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM COFC
FG% 41.4% 44.5%
3PT% 31.3% 35.4%
REB / G 29.9 36.4
OREB / G 7.9 8.8
AST / TO 1.14 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 51.5%
TOV% 16.2% 17.2%
ORB% 22.8% 25.0%
FT Rate 25.6% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 17.2%
DRB% 71.7% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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