Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | JXST +130 LT -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -2.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -2.0 (+0.0) | 138.3 (-14.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -1.0 (+1.0) | 136.1 (-12.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -1.7 (+0.3) | 140.6 (-16.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -1.3 (+0.7) | 140.8 (-16.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LT 77 – 71 JXST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JXST 64 – 60 LT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JXST 70 – 68 LT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LT 63 – 58 JXST |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LT 74 – 57 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#147) | 1.9 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#176) | 0.95 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#170) | 1.01 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#142) | 0.558 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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