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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 15.4
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Francis
@
Alabama State
|
+1.7 | 137.1 | 59% | 68–70 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
St. Bonaventure
|
+4.4 | 131.2 | 68% | 75–56 | ✗ |
Jacksonville State
@
Georgia Tech
|
+5.6 | 140.0 | 69% | 81–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.