We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–14 on winners spread MAE 9.8 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Minnesota -9.7 135.5 20% 64–73 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Western Michigan +4.7 145.0 67% 74–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ James Madison +13.5 142.0 87% 62–67 ✓
Louisiana @ Lamar +14.0 129.8 87% 55–65 ✓
Drexel @ American University +5.6 138.9 70% 73–75 ✓
Cornell @ Towson +5.0 145.6 69% 80–93 ✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth +8.7 137.1 78% 68–69 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +4.7 136.7 66% 78–85 ✓
Southern Illinois @ High Point +14.5 155.3 87% 86–84 ✗
Presbyterian @ Wofford +6.1 135.3 72% 56–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern +2.7 132.3 59% 69–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Radford -6.5 147.7 23% 82–75 ✓
Furman @ Elon +6.6 147.2 73% 97–88 ✗
Marshall @ UNC Wilmington +9.5 145.9 79% 69–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Queens University +14.7 152.3 88% 74–107 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida International +2.0 152.8 57% 83–89 ✓
Austin Peay @ Kent State +2.8 148.5 64% 84–96 ✓
Maine @ Ohio +3.7 133.7 62% 57–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +7.8 139.5 77% 71–93 ✓
Navy @ Delaware State -8.5 131.8 19% 66–59 ✓
Coppin State @ West Virginia +24.6 133.0 91% 49–91 ✓
Hofstra @ Columbia +9.0 140.9 79% 70–72 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky +12.0 153.3 88% 80–95 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +10.7 157.5 86% 92–101 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +2.9 160.9 60% 78–92 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +1.8 149.8 55% 87–80 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Seton Hall +14.0 134.8 87% 61–77 ✓
Harvard @ Massachusetts +4.2 138.5 67% 71–78 ✓
Bucknell @ Akron +23.7 151.4 91% 77–97 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +6.5 145.6 78% 60–73 ✓
Louisville @ Arkansas +1.0 157.4 48% 80–89 ✓
Clemson @ Alabama +11.2 161.2 80% 84–90 ✓
LSU @ Boston College -6.4 141.8 22% 78–69 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ UL Monroe +6.2 152.9 77% 52–66 ✓
Little Rock @ Central Arkansas +5.2 134.5 67% 47–85 ✓
Richmond @ Belmont +11.6 149.7 84% 84–76 ✗
Alcorn State @ Iowa State +25.0 153.7 91% 68–132 ✓
Tennessee State @ Alabama A&M -0.8 140.1 45% 53–80 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Omaha -5.0 153.9 28% 75–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ Northern Arizona +3.5 138.6 64% 75–62 ✗
Princeton @ Monmouth +5.8 140.0 70% 58–63 ✓
Idaho State @ Kansas City -7.9 134.8 20% 68–59 ✓
UMBC @ Georgetown +11.5 140.7 86% 81–90 ✓
Ball State @ Evansville +3.8 135.8 65% 52–64 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Illinois State +17.1 145.3 88% 78–89 ✓
Portland State @ South Dakota +0.3 153.5 46% 77–71 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Memphis +5.1 142.9 69% 70–86 ✓
California Baptist @ BYU +13.7 141.4 86% 60–91 ✓
North Dakota State @ Montana +3.9 145.9 67% 81–72 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Weber State +9.0 151.2 80% 66–92 ✓
Texas State @ Rice +4.2 134.0 65% 72–77 ✓
St. Thomas @ Montana State +4.3 140.6 64% 74–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin +5.0 150.0 72% 73–85 ✓
North Dakota @ Idaho +10.3 141.0 84% 58–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Denver +6.6 155.2 73% 89–93 ✓
Pacific @ Air Force -5.6 127.8 23% 80–65 ✓
SMU @ Vanderbilt +15.0 162.2 86% 69–88 ✓
Virginia @ Texas +4.7 151.0 65% 88–69 ✗
Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech +4.5 146.0 69% 85–73 ✗
NC State @ Auburn +6.3 167.8 70% 73–83 ✓
Vermont @ Oregon State -1.0 147.6 42% 58–80 ✗
Utah Tech @ Santa Clara +18.7 141.2 91% 80–90 ✓
Utah Valley @ San Diego State +1.1 148.8 55% 66–77 ✓
North Alabama @ San Francisco +12.2 141.7 86% 65–63 ✗
UCLA @ Washington +3.2 137.8 68% 82–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.