You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
12–5 on winners spread MAE 13.2 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cal State Northridge @ Stanford +13.7 157.9 88% 80–88 ✓
Winthrop @ Texas Tech +15.0 162.8 88% 57–87 ✓
UL Monroe @ Kansas State +25.2 160.4 91% 85–94 ✓
Columbia @ North Florida -11.8 151.9 15% 90–82 ✓
Le Moyne @ Boston College +10.0 142.1 82% 64–72 ✓
Harvard @ Colgate +5.4 139.2 71% 78–69 ✗
Liberty @ Florida International -0.1 142.6 52% 97–94 ✓
Florida A&M @ Georgia Tech +13.0 141.6 88% 65–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Louisiana -3.2 127.5 34% 54–63 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +10.4 159.1 83% 86–81 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ SMU +15.2 167.1 88% 63–110 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Richmond +13.0 150.7 87% 77–72 ✗
Washington State @ Portland -0.3 144.9 51% 67–62 ✓
Pennsylvania @ George Mason +15.3 142.3 88% 79–83 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon State -2.5 145.0 41% 102–64 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego -5.1 140.9 31% 54–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Maryland +7.1 148.2 75% 58–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.