I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–16 on winners spread MAE 10.9 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Belmont @ Southern Illinois -3.3 146.3 36% 73–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara +2.0 148.0 63% 54–62 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -2.6 137.8 43% 60–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +14.4 150.0 88% 69–89 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +6.6 149.4 77% 92–89 ✗
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson -6.9 138.8 22% 66–59 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +7.8 144.0 80% 75–78 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI +5.3 139.1 71% 82–68 ✗
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +2.5 149.4 64% 69–89 ✓
Austin Peay @ Lipscomb +2.7 144.0 65% 78–82 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech +2.1 155.7 56% 71–84 ✓
Louisville @ Pittsburgh -4.8 146.1 27% 100–59 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +2.1 142.2 59% 79–83 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +4.6 152.6 71% 87–80 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside -3.1 151.8 39% 72–81 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +3.5 144.6 63% 86–79 ✗
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +1.8 145.2 59% 73–62 ✗
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +2.8 146.1 65% 68–67 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah -4.5 143.6 28% 52–74 ✗
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +6.6 142.7 75% 71–58 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara -5.5 139.6 31% 62–77 ✗
Montana @ Montana State +4.5 145.0 71% 67–76 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +3.8 149.1 70% 75–67 ✗
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech +0.9 149.5 53% 71–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Seattle U -13.2 145.0 16% 71–50 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +5.0 165.5 72% 83–84 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -4.4 157.0 29% 89–93 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Temple -1.6 145.2 42% 79–73 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland -1.0 142.4 50% 73–96 ✗
American University @ Army -3.9 144.4 35% 78–67 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +7.1 152.3 77% 86–85 ✗
Charlotte @ East Carolina -4.3 142.1 32% 73–70 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -1.1 152.6 45% 88–63 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.5 143.5 63% 82–100 ✓
Tulsa @ UAB -2.1 154.4 45% 99–77 ✓
North Texas @ Tulane +1.7 131.3 55% 71–63 ✗
UTSA @ Memphis +18.8 135.0 91% 69–95 ✓
Arizona State @ Houston +14.7 138.2 88% 73–103 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.