The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–17 on winners spread MAE 10.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas @ Arkansas +7.3 165.7 76% 85–105 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Washington +10.1 154.2 84% 82–91 ✓
Duquesne @ Rhode Island +2.2 139.8 61% 52–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Davidson +3.8 130.8 65% 70–67 ✗
UAB @ Charlotte +0.1 143.2 50% 80–74 ✗
Marquette @ Providence +6.4 160.0 74% 78–56 ✗
Miami @ SMU +1.9 157.0 60% 77–69 ✗
California @ Georgia Tech -5.4 149.5 26% 76–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +4.8 123.5 68% 77–71 ✗
Stonehill @ Le Moyne +5.6 135.2 71% 81–71 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst +6.4 134.1 74% 61–70 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +3.3 139.1 64% 70–60 ✗
Chicago State @ Long Island University +12.0 140.1 88% 75–79 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +3.4 158.8 66% 85–84 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy +3.3 151.7 66% 63–84 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +7.0 142.2 78% 53–68 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +12.7 158.6 88% 61–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Penn State -6.4 148.0 27% 94–62 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate +11.0 139.4 85% 65–64 ✗
North Florida @ West Georgia +3.4 153.9 65% 85–93 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Louis +22.0 149.6 91% 65–79 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin +12.8 150.1 87% 45–78 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +7.6 134.9 78% 58–62 ✓
Villanova @ DePaul -2.6 132.8 37% 76–57 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +8.6 141.3 81% 62–84 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -6.5 143.7 23% 70–66 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern -0.6 155.2 46% 84–88 ✗
Baylor @ Houston +12.2 145.6 87% 64–77 ✓
Florida State @ Pittsburgh +0.2 143.1 51% 75–74 ✗
Stanford @ Notre Dame +0.9 146.3 52% 86–78 ✗
Little Rock @ Lindenwood +2.3 140.8 60% 62–72 ✓
Colorado State @ New Mexico +9.6 145.6 80% 82–74 ✗
USC @ Washington +4.8 145.9 69% 72–91 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +5.3 136.3 70% 67–63 ✗
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +6.4 143.4 72% 80–64 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Iona +3.1 144.3 64% 91–80 ✗
James Madison @ Southern Miss -1.6 140.2 42% 80–86 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.