This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–19 on winners spread MAE 8.9 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ Temple +3.8 139.9 66% 60–89 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina -12.4 152.1 15% 93–66 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International +0.8 151.0 52% 73–67 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Liberty +9.7 136.8 83% 76–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Delaware -8.0 148.4 22% 80–83 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +8.7 152.7 81% 77–90 ✓
American University @ Boston University +2.0 140.8 61% 73–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +2.8 139.3 65% 62–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +4.8 141.5 69% 66–69 ✓
Bucknell @ Navy +15.6 135.4 88% 69–74 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +10.5 144.7 83% 65–76 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +6.8 124.0 75% 63–66 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M -0.9 141.7 44% 77–81 ✗
Howard @ Norfolk State -2.9 141.2 36% 84–76 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +7.1 125.8 73% 57–56 ✗
Michigan @ Iowa -9.1 144.1 20% 71–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State +17.3 141.7 91% 87–91 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +1.5 140.5 57% 65–63 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +2.8 151.6 64% 70–59 ✗
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State +0.7 132.4 51% 65–60 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Missouri State -2.6 147.2 40% 74–87 ✗
Coppin State @ Morgan State +7.9 148.5 76% 66–70 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -10.4 147.4 16% 92–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +11.1 144.7 84% 77–85 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield +5.5 144.9 72% 60–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +7.3 160.7 77% 80–77 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State +0.0 147.6 47% 83–48 ✗
Kennesaw State @ UTEP -2.7 145.0 40% 71–78 ✗
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State +4.4 140.5 68% 75–77 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +2.0 146.3 58% 68–77 ✓
South Florida @ Memphis -6.1 155.0 26% 96–89 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M +1.4 145.7 56% 88–85 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.0 158.9 22% 86–84 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +6.0 147.4 75% 67–80 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +14.4 131.2 88% 59–68 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +2.5 141.4 61% 66–68 ✓
UC Davis @ Long Beach State -2.9 147.7 37% 76–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +9.1 146.5 82% 85–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -2.7 149.2 38% 71–75 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +7.8 133.7 80% 48–87 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +4.3 142.1 68% 66–62 ✗
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i +11.5 143.6 87% 74–93 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas +7.0 152.2 77% 73–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +18.7 152.3 89% 59–81 ✓
Drake @ Belmont +11.1 149.8 83% 100–79 ✗
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T +0.3 148.9 53% 88–72 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +5.9 159.4 74% 81–86 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +3.8 145.2 64% 77–53 ✗
UIC @ Murray State -1.2 147.4 46% 92–79 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +5.3 142.3 71% 88–85 ✗
Stetson @ Austin Peay +8.6 147.7 81% 60–69 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +20.2 153.6 91% 55–94 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +0.9 139.0 52% 82–85 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State -1.2 139.4 43% 81–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +5.3 138.7 72% 48–70 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan -2.0 136.1 43% 77–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.