That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–6 on winners spread MAE 7.4 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ UConn +11.2 136.2 84% 51–67 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -1.5 141.5 43% 73–70 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +4.5 138.9 67% 88–84 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +6.1 130.6 72% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +4.6 146.3 68% 78–93 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +3.1 131.4 62% 53–59 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +3.9 146.6 67% 66–79 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +13.0 133.6 85% 61–73 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +3.5 133.4 64% 47–69 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +5.2 160.5 71% 79–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +5.2 138.5 70% 72–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +3.5 149.6 64% 63–78 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State -0.1 148.4 50% 62–64 ✗
Cornell @ Yale +8.1 157.4 78% 76–88 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +4.8 136.9 68% 59–74 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +10.6 160.4 83% 65–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +5.9 161.0 69% 91–74 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +6.1 142.4 74% 70–69 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +10.6 141.0 84% 63–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard -0.6 132.1 47% 62–60 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +11.0 149.7 83% 64–86 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +8.5 154.0 80% 90–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -4.6 143.6 32% 73–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +6.8 140.2 76% 64–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State -2.4 149.9 39% 68–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.3 146.3 61% 62–73 ✓
Houston @ Arizona +3.9 137.6 64% 74–79 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +2.7 137.4 57% 52–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +0.5 148.6 54% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.