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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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4–0 on winners spread MAE 13.9 31 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
McNeese @ Alabama	—	—	—	64–72	—
Grambling @ Florida	—	—	—	62–86	—
Saint Peter's @ Rutgers	—	—	—	65–75	—
Southern Indiana @ Marshall	—	—	—	63–77	—
Stony Brook @ George Mason	+9.7	142.6	81%	56–94	✓
Gardner-Webb @ Pittsburgh	—	—	—	64–83	—
Buffalo @ Notre Dame	—	—	—	77–86	—
Eastern Washington @ Missouri	—	—	—	77–84	—
Western Michigan @ Butler	—	—	—	65–85	—
UT Martin @ North Alabama	—	—	—	69–87	—
Jacksonville @ Furman	—	—	—	69–78	—
Florida A&M @ Maryland	—	—	—	53–84	—
Winthrop @ Virginia Tech	—	—	—	52–58	—
Coppin State @ Virginia	—	—	—	45–62	—
Alcorn State @ Tulane	—	—	—	51–84	—
Kansas City @ Iowa State	—	—	—	56–82	—
Yale @ Purdue	—	—	—	84–92	—
Lamar @ Texas A&M	—	—	—	71–97	—
Northwestern State @ Oklahoma	—	—	—	57–73	—
Chattanooga @ Austin Peay	—	—	—	61–67	—
UNC Greensboro @ SMU	—	—	—	68–81	—
Central Michigan @ Marquette	+18.6	146.9	89%	62–70	✓
Mercer @ DePaul	—	—	—	64–95	—
North Dakota State @ Cal State Bakersfield	—	—	—	81–86	—
Idaho @ Washington State	—	—	—	67–90	—
Boston University @ UCLA	+20.3	127.1	89%	40–71	✓
Pacific @ Hawai'i	—	—	—	66–76	—
Villanova @ Saint Joseph's	+1.0	138.9	57%	76–83	✓
Michigan State @ Kansas	—	—	—	69–77	—
Hampton @ Providence	—	—	—	51–60	—
Cornell @ La Salle	—	—	—	77–93	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.