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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–3 on winners spread MAE 10.9 24 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
North Texas @ McNeese	-0.1	133.8	50%	61–68	✗
Howard @ Florida International	—	—	—	75–70	—
Colgate @ NC State	+11.8	137.7	87%	49–72	✓
American University @ High Point	+15.0	133.2	89%	73–80	✓
NJIT @ George Washington	+24.5	138.6	91%	64–84	✓
VMI @ Pittsburgh	+22.2	145.5	90%	48–93	✓
UNC Asheville @ North Florida	+17.9	160.0	81%	89–75	✗
Monmouth @ Wichita State	+15.1	154.6	88%	66–70	✓
SE Louisiana @ UL Monroe	-0.1	140.3	45%	70–67	✓
IU Indianapolis @ Iowa State	—	—	—	52–87	—
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Wisconsin	+17.5	157.5	89%	84–87	✓
Pacific @ Arkansas	+16.1	134.9	88%	72–91	✓
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois	+5.0	145.0	75%	44–69	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Tech	+29.0	156.8	91%	64–98	✓
Prairie View A&M @ SMU	+17.6	158.4	89%	69–110	✓
North Alabama @ Auburn	+22.9	156.2	89%	69–102	✓
Montana @ Utah State	+22.6	144.8	91%	83–95	✓
Northern Colorado @ Washington State	+10.7	155.0	85%	69–83	✓
Gonzaga @ San Diego State	—	—	—	80–67	—
Idaho State @ Cal State Fullerton	-5.2	133.0	37%	61–62	✗
Quinnipiac @ Navy	-1.0	145.5	45%	74–63	✓
Loyola Maryland @ Boston College	+8.8	136.5	82%	61–82	✓
Longwood @ Binghamton	-3.3	135.3	29%	66–60	✓
Queens University @ App State	+3.5	139.6	71%	53–65	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.