Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–6 on winners spread MAE 10.9 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
East Texas A&M @ UConn +28.4 145.0 91% 46–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Kentucky +23.3 158.1 90% 68–97 ✓
Cincinnati @ Northern Kentucky -13.3 131.8 16% 76–60 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +27.4 156.7 91% 60–84 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Green Bay -0.6 148.3 49% 57–82 ✗
Drexel @ Fairfield -2.2 130.5 37% 67–61 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte -1.4 141.7 62% 54–60 ✗
Hampton @ UMBC +4.0 132.1 57% 78–68 ✗
Troy @ West Georgia -7.1 139.6 24% 84–65 ✓
Wagner @ Boston University +5.5 120.5 50% 60–58 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Chicago State -10.5 140.2 20% 86–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Vermont +10.5 142.7 83% 67–78 ✓
Niagara @ Bowling Green +8.2 149.0 84% 68–76 ✓
Dartmouth @ Marist +12.0 147.0 87% 62–75 ✓
Milwaukee @ Duquesne +3.0 137.5 66% 80–74 ✗
North Dakota @ Notre Dame +17.5 143.8 88% 58–75 ✓
Hofstra @ Florida State +1.8 136.8 67% 61–79 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UCF +16.8 148.9 89% 69–80 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +15.3 141.5 87% 49–93 ✓
Delaware State @ Providence +18.4 131.8 89% 48–78 ✓
Evansville @ Ohio State +19.7 134.9 90% 30–80 ✓
Cleveland State @ Minnesota +12.0 123.6 81% 47–58 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Georgia — — — 45–93 —
Canisius @ Maryland +23.0 139.2 91% 37–108 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wake Forest — — — 69–82 —
Bellarmine @ Louisville +18.2 144.4 89% 68–100 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Belmont +11.6 143.6 88% 80–90 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Tulane +11.1 141.0 83% 57–72 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Kansas +13.9 151.0 86% 66–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Missouri State +5.9 156.1 80% 68–78 ✓
Samford @ Michigan State +7.5 159.3 84% 75–83 ✓
Western Illinois @ Northern Iowa +10.5 133.6 78% 56–82 ✓
Charleston Southern @ LSU +22.1 149.7 90% 68–77 ✓
Alcorn State @ TCU +26.8 135.9 91% 48–71 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Kansas State +26.4 132.7 91% 56–74 ✓
Rider @ Iowa +16.4 146.6 88% 58–83 ✓
Rice @ Louisiana +1.3 138.5 51% 83–61 ✗
Southern Utah @ Loyola Chicago +12.0 148.4 86% 72–76 ✓
Purdue @ Marquette +11.5 145.4 82% 58–76 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ DePaul +16.8 149.5 89% 69–78 ✓
Montana State @ Northwestern +15.8 137.3 88% 69–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Santa Clara +0.6 149.1 61% 54–96 ✓
Charleston @ The Citadel -0.3 144.9 40% 76–61 ✓
Siena @ Xavier +13.2 146.0 87% 55–80 ✓
Yale @ Stony Brook -7.0 145.1 28% 86–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.