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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–15 on winners spread MAE 8.0 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ LSU -9.9 147.6 15% 87–74 ✓
Houston @ West Virginia -8.3 123.7 15% 63–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ Maryland +5.5 148.1 74% 68–76 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +12.4 135.8 87% 57–71 ✓
Longwood @ Gardner-Webb -0.3 146.6 52% 87–92 ✗
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic +10.6 158.1 83% 74–94 ✓
Charlotte @ Temple +7.8 144.8 82% 89–90 ✓
Virginia @ Miami -0.2 136.9 40% 82–71 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Florida State +9.6 139.9 84% 76–66 ✗
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +4.9 160.2 73% 82–88 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington +8.5 139.1 82% 66–75 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ George Mason +10.4 137.1 84% 53–58 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's +6.9 142.2 78% 72–76 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle +4.6 151.2 69% 88–72 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Drake +7.8 119.6 79% 52–66 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +4.6 146.1 72% 67–72 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell +5.1 142.1 74% 67–79 ✓
Navy @ Lehigh +2.1 136.4 54% 79–54 ✗
American University @ Lafayette +0.3 134.9 39% 75–68 ✗
Stetson @ North Florida +7.8 158.7 84% 100–101 ✓
North Alabama @ Queens University -2.6 148.2 45% 67–75 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville +3.5 134.2 66% 83–79 ✗
VMI @ Wofford +10.6 140.8 85% 74–67 ✗
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina -10.9 146.1 17% 84–60 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.7 133.0 68% 65–70 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +10.2 145.6 85% 46–80 ✓
North Texas @ Wichita State -6.2 132.7 23% 58–54 ✓
West Georgia @ Central Arkansas +0.7 143.6 50% 70–75 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +15.9 143.2 89% 61–72 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +6.1 142.8 70% 57–85 ✓
UAB @ Tulsa -5.5 154.2 25% 78–68 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +10.3 150.3 83% 93–70 ✗
Murray State @ Evansville -3.2 135.1 35% 74–78 ✗
Xavier @ Creighton +5.6 145.4 77% 77–86 ✓
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss -8.1 150.2 22% 81–68 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas +14.7 155.7 88% 71–86 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -0.0 163.6 49% 87–91 ✗
Alabama @ Mississippi State +1.0 170.3 51% 88–84 ✗
Texas @ Ole Miss +6.3 141.3 74% 69–72 ✓
California @ SMU +11.0 152.3 84% 65–76 ✓
Belmont @ Illinois State +2.1 149.9 60% 78–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Northwestern +6.9 147.5 76% 79–72 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -2.3 141.8 35% 67–54 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +6.5 134.9 78% 56–66 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +12.2 143.9 87% 71–76 ✓
Syracuse @ Stanford +9.1 147.8 84% 61–70 ✓
New Hampshire @ Maine +13.4 141.7 87% 46–71 ✓
Stony Brook @ Charleston +13.2 147.6 87% 74–81 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -1.5 129.6 38% 72–75 ✗
Ohio State @ Penn State +2.0 149.7 57% 83–64 ✗
Wright State @ Youngstown State +0.9 145.8 59% 86–88 ✓
Towson @ Delaware -1.3 141.7 35% 76–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.