I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–12 on winners spread MAE 6.3 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ High Point +8.2 150.4 78% 100–104 ✓
NC State @ Stanford +7.2 137.1 80% 73–74 ✓
Vermont @ UAlbany +1.6 129.5 58% 68–62 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar +5.0 146.4 77% 68–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +10.2 149.6 86% 73–91 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +14.7 154.5 88% 74–89 ✓
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +14.0 144.7 87% 64–73 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -10.0 148.1 19% 81–80 ✓
San Diego @ Santa Clara +18.7 154.4 90% 70–93 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield -1.3 146.7 48% 77–71 ✓
Iona @ Marist +3.8 131.2 43% 75–71 ✗
East Carolina @ UTSA +0.5 146.6 52% 80–79 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -6.8 137.5 25% 80–74 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -0.1 144.9 41% 83–80 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +4.8 144.6 74% 66–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -15.7 152.9 11% 78–61 ✓
UT Arlington @ Seattle U +6.9 143.0 79% 65–67 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -2.2 142.5 40% 71–85 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -0.3 161.4 60% 75–74 ✓
Alabama @ Arkansas -4.8 166.4 30% 85–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU -2.7 147.1 33% 72–70 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah +0.8 135.7 52% 84–70 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana -2.0 143.7 38% 79–74 ✓
Idaho State @ Weber State -2.9 137.8 36% 72–67 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -3.4 132.6 37% 65–49 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount -3.3 138.5 44% 72–66 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +1.2 137.3 52% 66–63 ✗
San Diego State @ Colorado State +1.4 135.7 61% 63–68 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +2.5 143.8 60% 85–67 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +6.9 145.5 78% 64–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +3.4 136.2 64% 72–76 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Oregon State -2.7 131.0 38% 63–49 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona +4.1 146.8 71% 73–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Washington -1.7 140.6 41% 71–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Maryland +11.4 151.6 85% 81–90 ✓
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +6.2 131.2 75% 62–52 ✗
Xavier @ Villanova +3.6 138.2 68% 68–80 ✓
Temple @ Memphis +12.4 160.2 87% 82–90 ✓
Arizona State @ Oklahoma State -1.9 142.4 53% 73–86 ✗
Wichita State @ South Florida +1.5 146.2 50% 75–70 ✗
Massachusetts @ La Salle +0.6 154.2 55% 78–55 ✗
Ohio State @ Nebraska +0.2 146.5 57% 71–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.