Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -500 UTA +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -8.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.4 (-4.4) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -6.9 (-4.9) | 143.0 (-11.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.6 (-4.6) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.3 (-4.3) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2025 | UTA 65 – 56 SEA |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTA 82 – 62 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UTA 80 – 75 SEA |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SEA 80 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SEA 76 – 61 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#140) | -3.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#229) | -0.71 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#209) | -0.83 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#230) | 0.460 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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