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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–23 on winners spread MAE 10.0 44 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
UNC Asheville @ Radford	+2.2	147.2	61%	53–77	✓
Stonehill @ Wagner	-0.8	120.2	48%	57–63	✗
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne	+0.5	149.7	56%	81–76	✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst	+0.4	140.5	59%	60–65	✓
Central Connecticut @ Chicago State	-10.7	139.0	15%	81–75	✓
Bryant @ Vermont	-1.2	139.1	48%	55–59	✗
Georgia State @ James Madison	+11.6	146.3	85%	63–83	✓
Louisiana @ Troy	+13.6	134.1	85%	72–69	✗
Charleston @ Northeastern	+0.4	146.1	49%	73–62	✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T	-6.6	139.2	30%	50–53	✗
Towson @ Elon	-0.2	133.7	49%	63–69	✗
Monmouth @ Hofstra	+5.4	133.9	72%	68–62	✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson	-10.8	141.9	19%	83–80	✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University	+5.9	148.0	74%	92–78	✗
UTEP @ Kennesaw State	+3.3	144.3	65%	73–83	✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State	+4.9	132.8	68%	61–52	✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State	-1.8	134.1	40%	80–62	✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia	+4.1	145.5	67%	82–71	✗
Idaho @ Northern Arizona	+3.2	142.4	66%	83–78	✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado	+6.5	150.9	78%	76–95	✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss	+4.7	138.2	72%	87–78	✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb	+5.7	146.9	75%	63–75	✓
Jacksonville @ North Florida	-0.6	154.7	47%	73–77	✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian	+4.5	139.0	72%	59–75	✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock	+9.7	134.2	82%	93–92	✗
USC @ Maryland	+11.4	152.0	86%	71–88	✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech	+1.0	144.9	55%	66–71	✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State	+10.0	142.4	85%	66–87	✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana	+2.3	135.4	61%	63–54	✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic	+7.3	155.0	72%	75–68	✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State	+6.7	133.3	71%	80–77	✗
Portland State @ Idaho State	+0.7	139.3	55%	74–82	✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis	+2.0	134.2	59%	71–66	✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech	-7.8	143.9	24%	79–77	✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky	+4.8	155.7	70%	78–62	✗
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee	+3.1	136.4	66%	85–74	✗
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly	-11.7	153.9	14%	81–67	✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine	+8.3	149.2	78%	84–72	✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara	+13.2	140.1	87%	56–86	✓
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside	+10.1	141.4	86%	66–87	✓
Pacific @ San Francisco	+17.5	143.5	90%	58–71	✓
Oregon State @ Pepperdine	-8.7	142.2	23%	84–78	✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara	+13.5	145.3	87%	61–76	✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo	+8.1	150.9	76%	69–68	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.