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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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81–37 on winners spread MAE 8.2 118 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marquette @ Villanova -0.3 135.6 50% 66–81 ✗
Manhattan @ Iona +1.8 147.8 67% 60–65 ✓
Dayton @ Loyola Chicago -1.4 141.9 48% 72–76 ✗
Columbia @ Brown +3.7 147.2 69% 61–86 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +12.3 156.9 86% 88–92 ✓
Harvard @ Princeton +9.5 139.3 84% 71–76 ✓
Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania -1.9 147.3 52% 75–88 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -7.7 135.2 19% 73–65 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.0 149.7 61% 66–80 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +3.4 145.7 66% 80–76 ✗
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +11.4 145.5 87% 85–94 ✓
Niagara @ Siena +5.2 137.7 70% 60–94 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Mount St. Mary's +2.8 130.3 62% 58–69 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +6.0 136.2 75% 60–59 ✗
Fairfield @ Rider +4.1 134.1 55% 69–49 ✗
Canisius @ Marist +10.5 132.8 86% 81–89 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +0.8 150.2 57% 75–62 ✗
Kent State @ Miami (OH) +0.0 142.6 48% 92–96 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +0.1 148.2 49% 84–74 ✗
Tennessee @ Texas A&M -0.4 130.7 55% 77–69 ✓
Oregon @ Wisconsin +8.7 151.1 78% 77–73 ✗
Florida State @ Louisville +10.4 150.0 87% 81–89 ✓
TCU @ Cincinnati +5.9 132.8 67% 63–75 ✓
NJIT @ UMBC +7.7 151.8 76% 91–95 ✓
Charleston @ Drexel +0.9 142.2 50% 55–64 ✓
VMI @ Furman +11.7 142.9 88% 71–75 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Joseph's +12.1 139.5 88% 62–78 ✓
West Virginia @ Texas Tech +11.5 138.3 85% 51–73 ✓
Mississippi State @ Oklahoma -0.8 147.7 49% 87–93 ✗
Marshall @ App State +5.9 134.7 72% 69–59 ✗
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan -2.4 146.3 41% 86–57 ✓
Iowa State @ Houston +9.0 127.7 81% 59–68 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +3.1 152.3 68% 82–87 ✓
High Point @ Gardner-Webb -7.0 154.3 26% 90–67 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern +7.7 156.3 78% 79–69 ✗
Tulsa @ Rice +5.6 141.8 71% 50–71 ✓
Wake Forest @ NC State -0.5 136.9 47% 73–85 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Boston College -1.3 147.0 40% 54–69 ✗
Davidson @ Fordham -1.8 145.9 48% 80–69 ✓
Penn State @ Minnesota +1.4 140.4 58% 69–60 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Francis +0.7 146.2 54% 80–85 ✓
Wagner @ Chicago State -2.7 129.1 40% 64–52 ✓
Maine @ Binghamton -2.7 133.5 41% 69–71 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Hampton -4.5 138.9 41% 70–83 ✗
Towson @ Campbell -0.2 132.2 43% 76–67 ✓
Stony Brook @ North Carolina A&T +0.9 140.6 53% 72–73 ✓
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -4.2 156.2 47% 77–79 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer -3.2 140.4 35% 78–61 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Wofford +1.7 136.3 56% 73–68 ✗
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +15.9 145.0 90% 75–76 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech -0.3 149.1 49% 74–77 ✗
Florida International @ Liberty +14.3 136.9 87% 45–58 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -2.8 140.7 40% 72–76 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Louis +2.9 147.5 63% 66–81 ✓
Buffalo @ Ball State +9.6 150.7 86% 66–80 ✓
Evansville @ UIC +7.7 140.2 78% 77–82 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -0.2 145.3 48% 69–72 ✗
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +18.2 148.5 90% 70–95 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +14.7 156.6 88% 72–93 ✓
Sam Houston @ Middle Tennessee +3.7 148.8 68% 70–74 ✓
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt +0.8 149.0 58% 72–77 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +4.6 129.2 64% 67–62 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +13.6 150.7 88% 70–82 ✓
Clemson @ SMU +1.2 146.7 55% 79–69 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Kansas +13.8 146.0 87% 64–96 ✓
Baylor @ Colorado -6.4 141.6 28% 74–76 ✗
Virginia @ North Carolina +10.3 142.5 83% 66–81 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +7.9 133.3 79% 54–70 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +5.8 129.1 73% 63–70 ✓
Howard @ Morgan State +0.1 156.8 47% 87–81 ✗
South Carolina State @ Delaware State -2.8 147.0 42% 94–88 ✓
San José State @ Wyoming +2.7 136.9 64% 82–73 ✗
Boston University @ American University +4.2 131.1 72% 44–48 ✓
Washington @ Iowa +7.0 158.5 75% 79–85 ✓
Alcorn State @ Jackson State +3.4 141.7 62% 63–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Nicholls +6.1 149.6 79% 84–93 ✓
Long Island University @ Le Moyne -2.6 138.3 43% 76–61 ✓
Stonehill @ Central Connecticut +10.1 131.6 86% 41–67 ✓
Portland State @ Weber State -2.6 138.1 44% 58–60 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona +1.7 139.6 58% 67–87 ✓
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +12.6 148.7 87% 73–78 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware +0.2 141.0 53% 78–65 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +3.5 139.3 71% 55–61 ✓
Western Illinois @ Little Rock +9.6 136.0 83% 61–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ Radford +6.9 137.3 74% 80–73 ✗
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -13.6 141.0 14% 79–63 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama State +3.9 145.0 73% 59–60 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +2.3 137.8 70% 61–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ SE Louisiana +10.4 140.4 86% 65–83 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian -3.7 134.7 30% 66–58 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Troy +13.5 131.9 88% 66–83 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois -2.9 145.7 35% 79–76 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +10.5 143.6 85% 58–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +1.6 134.5 60% 70–78 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M -4.1 146.1 28% 68–64 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +12.6 134.9 87% 57–73 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -1.0 159.9 41% 100–112 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis -4.2 142.9 35% 65–62 ✓
Oregon State @ San Diego -11.4 143.8 17% 83–73 ✓
UTEP @ Jacksonville State +3.5 139.3 65% 65–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Kennesaw State +3.0 140.6 65% 60–49 ✗
Southern @ Grambling -3.9 131.9 30% 71–64 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +8.9 153.6 68% 75–64 ✗
South Alabama @ Texas State -0.1 139.7 54% 92–93 ✗
Florida @ LSU -9.7 150.0 22% 79–65 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Washington +5.1 145.1 70% 52–74 ✓
Murray State @ Bradley +8.0 137.9 80% 83–85 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +6.7 161.4 77% 75–77 ✓
Boise State @ Nevada +0.9 133.8 55% 70–69 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +20.6 135.7 90% 38–79 ✓
Cornell @ Brown -1.1 150.6 49% 85–81 ✓
Harvard @ Pennsylvania +0.8 141.1 56% 79–78 ✗
Northwestern State @ LSU New Orleans -3.9 137.8 39% 73–66 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word +0.3 132.7 51% 61–63 ✓
Santa Clara @ Washington State -2.9 156.6 40% 109–79 ✓
Akron @ Ohio -2.1 160.2 41% 67–84 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +8.3 173.7 79% 83–96 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Miami -0.4 141.2 47% 81–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.