Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–7 on winners spread MAE 8.0 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +17.4 145.3 90% 60–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +10.4 149.3 85% 64–90 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.9 146.3 68% 71–65 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +2.4 144.3 60% 67–78 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -3.6 139.7 33% 73–70 ✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman +4.0 133.2 66% 71–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +1.3 132.9 46% 75–59 ✗
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -11.8 135.6 14% 95–64 ✓
Howard @ South Carolina State +9.4 150.0 85% 69–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central -3.5 146.6 39% 87–91 ✗
Delaware State @ Morgan State +0.3 159.1 51% 81–87 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +2.6 130.2 65% 57–73 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.5 148.0 52% 76–77 ✓
Houston Christian @ East Texas A&M -0.9 131.9 51% 59–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +18.0 144.2 90% 66–84 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coppin State +3.5 135.4 64% 72–59 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +12.3 146.5 87% 62–95 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar +2.1 140.3 57% 53–65 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +11.5 130.2 86% 59–65 ✓
Wichita State @ North Texas +9.4 126.6 80% 66–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +11.5 148.1 87% 74–88 ✓
UCLA @ Northwestern +0.7 131.7 57% 73–69 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +4.4 139.1 70% 82–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana State +5.9 146.4 78% 60–75 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State -6.1 146.9 28% 68–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State +10.0 133.3 83% 56–59 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +7.9 146.1 81% 72–83 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +1.6 138.0 66% 63–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine +3.0 145.2 65% 70–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +14.4 151.9 89% 56–90 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina -2.0 140.0 45% 73–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.