He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 9.7 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.1 139.3 73% 66–69 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State -1.8 158.2 46% 83–69 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -5.3 142.1 31% 74–83 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +3.3 129.2 69% 70–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -8.1 148.8 21% 85–57 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +2.7 161.8 66% 75–100 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +1.3 139.8 55% 70–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +3.8 139.4 66% 88–90 ✓
USC @ UCLA +9.4 137.5 82% 63–90 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +7.8 143.1 84% 73–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +4.8 152.5 70% 76–72 ✗
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -7.7 132.5 22% 71–66 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +4.5 143.1 72% 68–70 ✓
Furman @ Samford +2.4 150.3 59% 95–78 ✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth -2.0 131.3 43% 60–65 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +9.7 144.9 81% 77–73 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +10.0 132.1 81% 59–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +0.6 138.3 56% 69–48 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton -11.5 146.2 16% 64–59 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -8.2 136.6 22% 70–65 ✓
Houston @ Baylor -2.7 128.0 27% 65–61 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona +1.5 139.7 54% 53–66 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -3.1 141.0 34% 97–88 ✓
Utah @ BYU +10.5 155.1 84% 74–85 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +7.0 132.3 79% 61–80 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +6.2 154.8 71% 69–85 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -13.7 135.7 15% 68–57 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +3.8 148.4 66% 77–94 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +8.4 143.3 81% 62–79 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +2.7 129.6 65% 76–82 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +5.3 145.6 73% 83–77 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +5.3 157.4 70% 69–81 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +5.8 154.0 74% 83–68 ✗
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +7.3 151.9 74% 53–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +5.0 141.6 67% 67–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +1.3 137.8 64% 62–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +5.6 145.3 74% 65–76 ✓
North Texas @ Temple -4.8 135.5 27% 61–66 ✗
UAB @ Tulane -1.3 153.5 42% 68–85 ✗
Tulsa @ Wichita State +9.7 143.4 85% 73–63 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +3.6 122.7 71% 48–63 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary +0.6 155.9 52% 100–78 ✗
Oregon @ Washington -6.2 148.0 23% 80–73 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +1.1 146.4 57% 80–77 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +1.0 149.5 59% 83–80 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +6.7 135.0 72% 65–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.1 134.0 77% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -3.2 141.8 32% 74–71 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +9.4 141.5 82% 65–85 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +7.4 143.0 78% 52–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.