← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–9 on winners
spread MAE 6.9
21 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.8 | 139.3 | 66% | 70–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.9 | 133.0 | 89% | 59–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.2 | 145.7 | 63% | 67–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 140.4 | 65% | 80–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.7 | 140.0 | 61% | 56–54 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.0 | 150.1 | 80% | 76–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.0 | 135.8 | 31% | 87–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 132.2 | 71% | 56–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.7 | 140.3 | 32% | 54–55 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.5 | 132.2 | 56% | 69–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.4 | 139.1 | 49% | 72–65 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.7 | 143.7 | 41% | 82–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 139.5 | 45% | 76–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.4 | 144.4 | 55% | 65–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 148.9 | 79% | 72–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 130.6 | 67% | 57–42 | ✗ |
|
|
+16.9 | 134.8 | 89% | 64–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.1 | 135.5 | 85% | 46–43 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.2 | 146.1 | 62% | 78–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.3 | 142.3 | 58% | 66–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 149.8 | 57% | 66–62 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.