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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–6 on winners
spread MAE 6.6
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
@
Wisconsin
|
+0.4 | 151.6 | 47% | 91–89 | ✗ |
Gonzaga
@
Houston
|
+4.0 | 134.4 | 70% | 76–81 | ✓ |
UCLA
@
Tennessee
|
+4.4 | 132.1 | 70% | 58–67 | ✓ |
Manhattan
@
Incarnate Word
|
-0.2 | 143.8 | 49% | 85–92 | ✗ |
UConn
@
Florida
|
+6.0 | 147.4 | 75% | 75–77 | ✓ |
Elon
@
Army
|
-5.6 | 146.5 | 34% | 78–83 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
SMU
|
+9.6 | 150.7 | 78% | 85–83 | ✗ |
Baylor
@
Duke
|
+8.1 | 137.6 | 78% | 66–89 | ✓ |
Queens University
@
Northern Arizona
|
-1.6 | 145.3 | 42% | 85–78 | ✓ |
Illinois
@
Kentucky
|
-0.1 | 170.3 | 49% | 75–84 | ✗ |
Saint Mary's
@
Alabama
|
+4.6 | 147.7 | 65% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Illinois State
@
Presbyterian
|
-5.4 | 134.9 | 29% | 78–70 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
North Texas
|
+5.4 | 128.4 | 67% | 63–65 | ✓ |
Loyola Chicago
@
San Francisco
|
+8.2 | 142.4 | 77% | 77–76 | ✗ |
Colorado State
@
Maryland
|
+5.1 | 140.9 | 70% | 71–72 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.