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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.2 | 146.2 | 70% | 91–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.4 | 142.6 | 66% | 63–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.3 | 140.7 | 82% | 61–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 136.8 | 67% | 77–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.0 | 162.5 | 69% | 88–84 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.3 | 150.4 | 67% | 83–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 137.9 | 60% | 87–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.6 | 142.9 | 70% | 65–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.0 | 139.0 | 61% | 73–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.