Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 7.6 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +6.5 143.4 74% 73–77 ✓
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -4.6 158.3 29% 84–86 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +7.0 155.2 78% 59–71 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb -11.7 138.5 17% 77–71 ✓
High Point @ Presbyterian -10.8 143.5 15% 79–73 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut +3.2 134.9 65% 78–80 ✓
New Haven @ Wagner +1.7 129.3 54% 62–65 ✓
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +2.6 137.0 55% 77–103 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +11.3 138.7 85% 56–73 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Le Moyne +3.8 138.0 62% 59–76 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +8.2 145.5 81% 64–66 ✓
Campbell @ Drexel +0.9 141.8 56% 60–65 ✓
Elon @ Towson +4.1 139.4 71% 56–58 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington +13.1 139.4 88% 65–88 ✓
Stony Brook @ Monmouth +3.3 140.5 70% 69–82 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary +9.9 157.6 85% 77–84 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +4.7 150.7 73% 85–80 ✗
Stetson @ Jacksonville +4.4 141.0 71% 85–89 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida -4.5 156.6 30% 70–76 ✗
Delaware @ Jacksonville State +6.4 135.9 73% 70–80 ✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -0.0 151.0 51% 65–74 ✗
Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech +1.6 137.7 58% 70–72 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +7.9 137.6 77% 67–77 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +3.0 147.1 68% 70–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +6.4 143.2 74% 76–74 ✗
Denver @ Oral Roberts -4.4 152.4 37% 80–102 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -11.8 145.3 16% 73–59 ✓
VMI @ Samford +15.7 153.2 89% 61–80 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +14.3 140.1 88% 72–79 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +5.9 146.3 76% 87–92 ✓
Florida A&M @ Southern +7.4 146.9 79% 82–71 ✗
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +11.5 134.9 85% 47–67 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State +3.2 148.9 68% 79–71 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +5.9 140.7 73% 71–67 ✗
Morehead State @ Little Rock +0.7 140.7 53% 76–70 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +8.4 131.7 80% 49–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +0.8 145.2 58% 88–82 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +10.5 145.7 85% 59–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas +2.1 152.9 63% 62–84 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -1.5 144.6 57% 77–73 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +2.2 138.3 64% 69–84 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +8.5 154.7 82% 73–81 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +9.0 143.0 83% 58–78 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington -0.3 153.5 47% 72–82 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech +3.7 135.7 63% 81–85 ✓
Florida International @ Sam Houston +8.4 159.3 80% 67–100 ✓
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +3.4 159.8 73% 76–85 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal Poly +5.4 155.0 70% 92–102 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge +0.5 151.6 56% 68–67 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego +17.6 145.9 90% 72–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +4.5 130.7 67% 56–68 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -9.4 160.2 18% 69–67 ✓
Yale @ Cornell -4.4 159.1 31% 69–72 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Niagara -8.2 130.8 20% 76–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.