And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–19 on winners spread MAE 9.5 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +1.3 147.3 63% 92–91 ✗
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +11.3 139.3 86% 58–67 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -3.2 153.7 44% 87–85 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -4.6 145.4 31% 69–53 ✓
Villanova @ St. John's +6.8 145.7 78% 57–89 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +15.0 158.8 88% 76–91 ✓
Washington State @ Pepperdine -6.6 147.7 28% 79–88 ✗
Oregon State @ Santa Clara +14.8 151.9 88% 72–93 ✓
Baylor @ UCF +2.4 158.0 67% 87–86 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside -4.1 152.2 30% 84–95 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City -2.8 145.0 37% 94–70 ✓
Omaha @ St. Thomas +10.9 156.1 86% 53–68 ✓
Arkansas @ Florida +8.8 165.4 74% 77–111 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +10.6 152.2 84% 82–89 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +11.4 153.9 84% 85–79 ✗
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah -3.2 150.8 38% 67–81 ✗
Seattle U @ Loyola Marymount +0.7 140.4 51% 71–66 ✗
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +7.9 137.9 80% 67–82 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield -1.8 148.0 46% 88–87 ✓
Nevada @ UNLV -1.7 147.6 44% 83–85 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Utah State +10.4 146.3 85% 69–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +11.2 157.1 83% 64–80 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -0.8 141.0 41% 59–70 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +5.3 143.7 72% 60–64 ✓
La Salle @ Davidson +8.5 134.0 83% 64–71 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida +13.5 155.4 88% 62–90 ✓
North Texas @ UAB +4.8 138.7 71% 62–58 ✗
Rutgers @ Maryland +4.3 141.2 74% 69–65 ✗
UIC @ Indiana State -4.2 144.5 29% 63–79 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Canisius -8.1 132.8 20% 67–63 ✓
Purdue @ Ohio State -2.7 145.3 34% 74–82 ✗
Murray State @ Bradley +2.3 160.1 66% 78–87 ✓
Rice @ Temple +5.4 142.3 71% 80–74 ✗
Memphis @ East Carolina -6.0 146.0 31% 68–84 ✗
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +7.2 145.8 78% 76–77 ✓
Rider @ Siena +13.5 134.0 87% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield +4.4 137.9 72% 69–47 ✗
Merrimack @ Niagara -7.6 132.3 21% 73–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Marist +3.3 133.8 61% 63–56 ✗
Iona @ Manhattan -2.3 150.5 43% 69–65 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake -2.7 134.4 38% 75–53 ✓
Michigan State @ Indiana -2.2 144.5 39% 77–64 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -7.9 139.2 20% 81–67 ✓
DePaul @ Marquette +4.4 144.5 75% 62–51 ✗
Belmont @ Illinois State -0.2 146.4 54% 74–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.