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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–17 on winners spread MAE 9.4 52 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
TCU @ Texas Tech	+11.2	152.4	85%	73–65	✗
Wake Forest @ Virginia	+11.4	152.6	87%	70–75	✓
Clemson @ North Carolina	+6.3	142.7	76%	63–67	✓
Georgetown @ St. John's	+14.6	145.1	88%	69–72	✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH)	+10.1	160.0	84%	72–74	✓
George Mason @ VCU	+10.6	143.9	85%	65–70	✓
Dayton @ Richmond	-2.6	145.2	32%	65–60	✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF	+6.9	161.2	76%	111–104	✗
Seton Hall @ Xavier	+0.5	142.9	49%	77–68	✗
Ohio @ Massachusetts	+3.7	154.6	66%	82–94	✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan	+3.2	136.1	63%	74–71	✗
Akron @ Central Michigan	-11.2	156.6	16%	77–64	✓
UAlbany @ Vermont	+7.4	138.7	80%	56–69	✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon	-4.1	143.9	34%	76–57	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell	+6.4	148.6	80%	72–90	✓
Hampton @ William & Mary	+8.7	148.8	84%	85–94	✓
Drexel @ Hofstra	+9.4	134.7	83%	51–62	✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern	-1.8	147.2	44%	89–83	✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma	+2.3	153.5	59%	64–80	✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M	+1.2	159.9	48%	85–96	✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette	+2.6	140.1	67%	82–77	✗
Army @ Bucknell	+2.4	146.4	62%	55–65	✓
Mississippi State @ Florida	+17.5	158.5	90%	74–108	✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State	-0.8	140.6	41%	63–65	✗
Kent State @ Northern Illinois	-8.3	150.1	20%	102–76	✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay	+3.6	145.9	65%	56–64	✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion	+8.6	155.9	80%	80–87	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State	-0.1	150.7	56%	78–81	✗
BYU @ Cincinnati	-0.3	148.3	57%	68–90	✗
Southern @ Alabama State	+0.6	150.1	54%	71–64	✗
Kansas @ Arizona State	-3.3	146.0	32%	60–70	✗
Oregon @ Illinois	+16.2	150.2	90%	54–80	✓
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss	-6.6	155.1	25%	89–86	✓
Syracuse @ Louisville	+14.9	161.7	88%	62–77	✓
San José State @ Fresno State	+6.5	144.1	76%	68–82	✓
Colorado @ Utah	+0.3	148.3	51%	92–78	✗
San Diego State @ Boise State	+3.4	147.9	68%	77–86	✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech	+9.7	145.4	85%	63–72	✓
Grand Canyon @ Air Force	-16.1	140.6	12%	86–60	✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State	+9.6	139.0	86%	64–67	✓
Grambling @ Alabama A&M	+0.9	136.5	61%	63–77	✓
Nevada @ Wyoming	+0.3	141.0	53%	73–83	✓
LSU @ Auburn	+6.4	158.7	78%	74–88	✓
Nebraska @ UCLA	-0.6	144.5	51%	52–72	✗
Utah State @ UNLV	-7.5	156.8	23%	65–92	✗
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine	-0.3	142.5	44%	79–82	✗
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast	+5.0	140.8	70%	58–69	✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky	+3.3	151.3	64%	92–76	✗
Creighton @ Butler	+3.7	152.1	66%	76–59	✗
Louisiana @ James Madison	+6.3	131.0	75%	72–87	✓
Fordham @ La Salle	-1.2	128.8	41%	84–87	✗
Minnesota @ Indiana	+7.2	137.4	72%	47–77	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.