Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | NCAT +140 CAM -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +8 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -0.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.4 (-7.6) | 152.7 (-2.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.9 (-7.1) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -0.3 (-8.3) | 152.8 (-2.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.2 (-7.8) | 152.7 (-2.7) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CAM 90 – 72 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CAM 66 – 62 NCAT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAM 64 – 62 NCAT |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NCAT 76 – 62 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCAT | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#264) | -2.9 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#274) | -0.22 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#282) | -0.34 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#276) | 0.500 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCAT | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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