Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NCAT +130 CAM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -0.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.2 (+14.2) | 136.7 (+1.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -0.3 (+13.7) | 138.6 (-0.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -0.4 (+14.4) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -0.2 (+13.8) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CAM 90 – 72 NCAT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CAM 79 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CAM 66 – 62 NCAT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAM 64 – 62 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCAT | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#344) | -8.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#330) | -2.27 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#335) | -2.77 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#329) | 0.364 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCAT | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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